نشریه آینده پژوهی انقلاب اسلامی
سال سوم شماره 4 (پیاپی 11، زمستان 1401)

The purpose of this article is to present a model that can relate the statement of the second step of the Islamic Revolution to the program documents of the country and provide the basis for its implementation, and for this purpose, the theoretical literature of strategic foresight models has been used as a model for implementation. The statement should be localized.For this purpose, the initial model was designed with the help of documentary and library studies, and then the resilience of the model was measured in different dimensions using expert interviews and questionnaires.The final model has been obtained in such a way that, based on the statement of the second step, macro-futuristic approaches should be extracted and then the cognitive-normative frameworks of the second step of the revolution should be obtained. In the continuation of the Iranian Islamic model document, the progress based on it is rewritten and macro and national (or partial) perspectives are compiled based on this document and in time horizons of less than 40 years. Under these perspectives, a strategic monitoring process is implemented and at the end, policy documents are produced for implementation.In order to implement the document of the second step, the entire document must first be broken into some major national issues, and then for each issue, the country's policy documents (such as the Iranian Islamic model of progress) should be modified and compiled, and then smaller documents such as vision, macro strategies, Policy documents and... should be compiled.

Utilizing the capabilities of development sociology and future research together helps to evaluate the results of political, social and other measures in practice. This research aims to show the common capabilities and capacities of development sociology and future research as a science and tool, in such a way that it is possible to find Common routes alignments between the two. To check this alignment, the model of correlation of sciences has been used. According to the findings of this research, the background of sociology of development has grown and evolved in its own way, but it has not been logically connected with future studies. But in connection with it, with future research, from the views of; Traditional to forecasting, exploratory or based on imaging and future-making, whether based on a prescriptive or retrospective approach, by describing the factors of social phenomena in relation to past trends, makes future behaviors more predictable. The present research has tried, by looking at the background of the sociology of development, before the discussions of future studies. To investigate the application of exploratory future research, imaging future research and prescriptive future research in the sociology of development, to reach the desired situation.

Futurism is the knowledge of discovering the future. It is very important with what approach we look to the future, and how we make an impression of the facts from the events and incidents that have not happened in the present and make decisions according to this impression. This is important depending on the philosophical approach from which philosophical school we look at the future events. In this regard, the main issue of this research is, what are the fields in Immanuel Kant's thought to know the future? Or in other words, what are the futuristic elements of Kant's thought? For this purpose, the research method is based on library studies and referring to Kant's works and extracting futuristic elements in his thought. In this method, we reach the mentioned elements through the analysis of his opinion. Through the investigation, it was determined that in Kant's epistemological system, knowledge is obtained for humans from the cooperation of transcendental senses with transcendental analysis, that is, from the cooperation of the elements of time and space and the categories of understanding, in which formation takes place between the two. Therefore, it is necessary to discuss time and place in Kant's epistemology. Therefore, the sum of these elements in the knowledge of the future, according to Kant's emphasis on previous composite theorems; It is effective. So, in Kant's view, what is considered to be the basic element of futurist epistemology is a priori compound theorems that increase our knowledge of the world with the condition of necessity and generality. Therefore, he is searching for our necessary and previous conditions before experience, which makes human knowledge possible.

The dynamism, growth and youth of a country's population as an opportunity and privilege have always been the focus of policymakers and researchers, and it is clear that "empowering the working-age population" is one of the most important wise policies that can open the horizon of growth and progress in the face of the country. Dealing with the policies of increasing the fertility rate and increasing the population in order to maintain the young image of the country has become common and general in Iran for nearly a decade, and the importance of this policy cannot be hidden or denied. But what should not be neglected in this period is the demographic window of opportunity. If the young and working-age workforce is wasted and the country cannot achieve economic growth, and at the same time, if it is accompanied by a decrease in the fertility rate, the country will face a disastrous horizon. In this research, using the future research method of scenario planning, four different scenarios of the relation of the two uncertainties of seizing the demographic window of opportunity for economic growth and the dynamics of the fertility rate and population growth have been identified and introduced (the four scenarios of "Zayndehabad", "Nazaabad", " "Zayandehviran" and "Nazaviran") and suggestions for the occurrence of the desired scenario have been presented.

One of the strategic ways of great powers throughout history to create a gap between the government and the people of other societies has been casting doubt. The efforts of the enemies for more than 4 decades to implement the strategy of showing the ineffectiveness of the Islamic Republic system, along with the existence of some management inefficiencies, have led to the suspicion of the ineffectiveness of the Islamic Republic system. In contrast to these efforts and actions of the enemies, trying to explain the great achievements of the Islamic Republic of Iran and promoting public belief in this field is considered a strategic issue for our country. It becomes public opinion. In this regard, mass media are one of the most important components of explaining, informing and deepening the public's belief in the efficiency of the system. Therefore, the aim of this research is to identify and present media mechanisms to explain the efficiency of the system of the Islamic Revolutionary Republic of Iran and its credibility components. This research is in the field of qualitative research and the interview method has been used.

In this research, the main goal was to investigate Futurism from the perspective of Seyyed Jamaluddin Asadabadi.

This research is both fundamental and applied and is the result of the review of articles and qualitative content analysis, which, based on the documentary analysis of existing texts and views, has gained knowledge of the foundations of future construction from the perspective of Seyyed Jamaluddin Asadabadi.

Eight important categories from Seyyed Jamaluddin Asadabadi's point of view, which have a significant impact on the construction of the future, have been identified and an analysis of the effect of each of them on the thinking of the future has been done.

Seyyed Jamaluddin Asadabadi's actions and thoughts were all focused on the future, he defined a specific goal, formulated a series of strategies based on that goal, and used a series of tactics to advance these strategies and realize his intended goal. Seyyed Jamal's goal in his own words; It was "the good of the Muhammadan Ummah", and this good of the Muhammadan Ummah is the same as the desired state of the Prophet's Ummah. Seyyed Jamal to achieve this goal through two channels, namely; a) fight against internal tyranny and b) fight against foreign colonialism, and to do this, he used a series of strategies such as; Islamic awakening, the unity of Islam or the unity of Muslims, the return to true Islam, etc. Seyyed Jamal was actually looking for the construction of the future, although he considered this construction of the future to be necessary to know the future.